Saturday, October 9, 2010

Political analyst from Hot Air gives David Schweikert 56% chance at beating Harry Mitchell

When I made my last update, I wrote that I didn’t think that the high rate of decline Democrats we were seeing at the time would continue, simply because races tighten and at some point a party gradually reaches a bottom.
Instead, Democrats have blown threw the electoral floor.
At this time last month, 44 Democrat seats were rated toss up. Today, there are 52 — a level I didn’t think Democrats would reach until election day. The firewall to preserve the Democrat majority is gone, and the second firewall, incredibly deep into the caucus, is now failing.
Jesse Kelly is given a 50% chance at beating Gabrielle Giffords, and Paul Gosar 70% chance at beating Ann Kirkpatrick.

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