National Journal: David Schweikert leading Harry Mitchell by two points in latest poll

The poll was conducted by National Research, Inc. on Oct. 5 and 6, about a day before early ballots hit mailboxes, and had a margin of error of +/- 4.9%. 

Despite the Democratic spin, both polls paint a troubling picture for Mitchell's re-election prospects, given that he's polling under the 50 percent mark despite being a well-known figure in the district, serving as mayor of Tempe for over a decade.

Arizona is particularly important to the NRCC. The GOP is looking to pick up three seats in the state this year, and Mitchell is a top target.

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